Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umar B. Ndako Author-Name: Afees A. Salisu Author-Name: Muritala O. Ogunsiji Author-Email: umarbida@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Centre for Econometric & Allied Research, University of Ibadan, Nigeria Title: Geopolitical Risk and the Return Volatility of Islamic Stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia - A GARCH-MIDAS Approach Abstract: In this paper, the predictive value of geopolitical risk (GPR) for the return volatility of Islamic stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia is examined. GPR data, whether global or country-specific, heighten the return volatility of Islamic stocks in both countries, albeit with a greater impact on Indonesia. Additional analyses show improved out-of-sample forecast gains with the inclusion of GPR data in the predictive model of the return volatility of Islamic stocks. Classification-JEL: G15 Keywords: garch-midas,out-of-sample forecast,predictability,islamic stocks,geopolitical risk Journal: Asian Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Volume: 2 Issue: 3 Year: 2021 DOI: 2021/10/06 File-URL: https://a-e-l.scholasticahq.com/api/v1/articles/24843-geopolitical-risk-and-the-return-volatility-of-islamic-stocks-in-indonesia-and-malaysia-a-garch-midas-approach.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnael:38