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Asian Economics Letters

2020

Volume 1 Issue 1

Has COVID-19 Changed Exchange Rate Resistance to Shocks?

In this note, we propose the hypothesis that COVID-19 has influenced the Yen-US dollar exchange rate’s resistance to shocks. We propose a time varying unit root model and unravel that

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Pandemics and the Asia-Pacific Islamic Stocks

In this paper, we examine the potential of the Asia-Pacific Islamic stock market to serve as a good hedge against uncertainty due to pandemics and epidemics (UPE). Relying on a

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Does Private Investment Help Improve Natural Resource Utilization Efficiency?

Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (excluding Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) over the 2006 to 2016 period, this research analyzes the impact of private investment on natural

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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Innovation: Evidence From China

This study investigates whether economic policy uncertainty affects corporate innovation. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms during the period of 2007-2017, this paper finds that economic policy uncertainty is

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Tourism and Unemployment in Hong Kong: Is There Any Interaction?

This paper investigates the time-varying interaction between tourist arrivals (TA) and unemployment rate (UE) in Hong Kong. We find that TA negatively influence UE, implying that lack of tourism hurts

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The Role of Internet Development on Energy Intensity in China: Evidence From a Spatial Econometric Analysis

With the emergence of information communication technology, the role of internet development has become crucial for energy intensity. This study uses the spatial Durbin model to test the impact of

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Volume 1 Issue 2

A Note on the Asian Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic

This paper provides a note on commonality in volatility for five developed Asian economies, namely Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, Singapore and South Korea. Additionally, we examine whether the COVID-19 pandemic

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Did Bubble Activity Intensify During COVID-19?

In this note, we utilize hourly exchange rate data for Japanese Yen, Canadian dollar, European Euro and the British pound to search for possible bubble type behavior. We identify evidence

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Economic Policy Uncertainty in Times of COVID-19 Pandemic

We examine the impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in five leading Asian economies, namely China, India, Japan, Korea, and Singapore. We find that

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The COVID-19 IMPACT on the ASIAN STOCK MARKETS

In this note, we examine the impact that the COVID-19 crisis may have on the Asian stock markets by examining the statistical properties of three financial markets in Asia: namely,

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Dynamics of Foreign Portfolio Investment and Stock Market Returns During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From India

This paper examines the causality relation between stock returns and foreign portfolio (FPI) flows in the Indian context during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using daily data and the Toda and Yamamoto

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The Effect of Country-level Factors and Government Intervention on the Incidence of COVID-19

This study explores the effects of demographic, socio-economic, and public-response factors on the incidence of new COVID-19 cases for the 10 countries with the greatest number of confirmed cases. Results

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Volume 1 Issue 3

Can Oil Prices Predict Japanese Yen?

In this paper, we examine the relationship between Japanese Yen (vis-à-vis the US dollar) and the crude oil futures price. The novelty is that we use high frequency (intraday hourly)

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Does COVID-19 Affect Domestic Credit? Aggregate and Bank Level Evidence From China

We estimate the impact of COVID-19 on domestic credit in China over the period January 01, 2020 to June 30, 2020. Our findings show that an increase in COVID-19 confirmed

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The Impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese Stock Market: An Event Study Based on the Consumer Industry

Using an event study approach, this paper investigates the impact of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) on the consumer industry in the Chinese stock market. We find that stocks belonging to

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Systemic Risk in China’s Financial Industry Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic

In this paper, the dynamic CoVaR method is used to measure changes in systemic risk in the financial industry during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that, first, after the outbreak

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Impact of COVID-19 on Remittance Inflows to Samoa

This paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on remittance inflows to Samoa. The study finds that COVID-19 has led to increased remittance inflows to Samoa from Australia and

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Did Enterprises’ Innovation Ability Increase During the COVID-19 Pandemic? Evidence From Chinese Listed Companies

This paper uses a fixed effect model to empirically study the impact of COVID-19 on the innovative ability of listed companies in China. We find that the innovative abilities of

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Volume 1 Issue 4

The Impact of COVID-19 and Government Intervention on Stock Markets of OECD Countries

We study the impact of COVID-19 and various government interventions on the stock market returns of 20 OECD countries from February 1, 2020 to October 1, 2020. We find that

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Investor Sentiment and Volatility Prediction of Currencies and Commodities During the COVID-19 Pandemic

In this note, we examine whether the volatility predictive power of investor sentiment for currencies and commodities is sensitive to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Credit Suisse Fear Barometer (CSFB) and

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An Analysis of the Dynamic Asymmetric Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the RMB Exchange Rate

In this paper, we assume that the COVID-19 pandemic exerts a time-varying asymmetric impact on the RMB exchange rate. Based on the Taylor rule model, we examine the RMB exchange

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Product Market Competition and R&D Investment: Evidence From Textual Analysis on Annual Report of China’s Listed Firms

We investigate the relationship between product market competition (measured by textual analysis of annual reports) and Research and Development (R&D) investment of China’s listed firms. Empirical results show that competition

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Does Bank Lending Intervention Hamper Firm Innovation? Evidence From the Chinese-style Capacity-Reduction Initiative

Using the difference-in-differences method, this study investigates the impact of bank lending intervention on firm innovation. We find that bank lending intervention significantly hampers R&D investment of firms in overcapacity

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Asymmetric Link Between COVID-19 and Fossil Energy Prices

This paper investigates the asymmetric relationship between COVID-19 and fossil energy prices through bootstrap Fourier Granger Causality test in quantiles. The empirical results indicate that COVID-19 influences oil and natural

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2020

Volume 2 Issue 1

Volume 2 Issue 2

Volume 2 Issue 3

Volume 2 Issue 4

2021

Volume 2 Issue 1

Can Uncertainty Due to Pandemic Predict Asia-Pacific Energy Stock Markets?

In this note, we examine the predictability of the energy stock markets using the diseases-based uncertainty index within a nonparametric framework. The nonparametric causality test reveals that energy stocks’ predictability

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The Impact of COVID-19 on the Relation Between Retail Investors’ Trading and Stock Returns in the Chinese Market

This paper investigates the relation between retail investors’ flows and returns during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Chinese market using the VAR model.

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Sectoral Nonlinear Causality Between Stock Market Volatility and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From India

This paper examines the linear and nonlinear relationship between daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and sectoral stock market volatility in India.

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How Do Pandemics Affect Government Expenditures?

Based on a sample of panel data for 14 countries spanning the period 2000-2018, this paper investigates the effect of pandemics on government expenditure and public health expenditure.

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The Impact of COVID-19 on the Status of RMB as an Anchor Currency

In the context of a severely volatile global financial market in 2020, the Ren Min Bi (RMB) has also experienced dramatic fluctuations.

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Growth in China’s New Economy

This paper analyzes socially optimal shares of output invested in research and development (R&D), education and physical capital to sustain China's economic growth as population growth slows.

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Volume 2 Issue 2

New Measures of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A New Time-Series Dataset

The multitude of papers exploring the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic over the last 12 months has motivated us to develop new, alternative measures of COVID-19.

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Uncertainty Due to Pandemic and the Volatility Connectedness Among Asian REITs Market

With increasing COVID-19 cases and instability of many financial markets, we examine the role of uncertainty due to infectious diseases in influencing volatility connectedness among Asian REITs market.

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How Does Energy Production Respond to the COVID-19 Pandemic? Evidence From China

We investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy production in 30 Chinese provinces.

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Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Markets

Using time-series data for 19 countries, we examine whether market connectedness (measured by market returns and volatility) increased over time because of the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

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How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect With the Volatility Spillovers in Asia-Pacific Markets?

We examine the connection between global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) and the dynamic spillovers of the Asia-Pacific manufacturing market within a nonparametric framework.

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House Prices and China’s Birth Rate: A Note

This study aims to explore whether house prices have an asymmetrical threshold effect on the birth rate in China.

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Volume 2 Issue 3

Special Issue on Forecasting Asian Markets

This special issue of the Asian Economics Letters (AEL) contains papers on forecasting of Asian financial markets.

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Do Epidemics and Pandemics Have Predictive Content for Exchange Rate Movements? Evidence for Asian Economies

In this paper, we examine the predictive content of uncertainty due to pandemics and epidemics (UPE) for the exchange rate movements of selected Asian economies.

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Testing the Asymmetric Response of China’s Stock Returns to Oil Price Dynamics: Does Fear of COVID-19 Matter?

This study investigates the response of Chinese stock returns to oil prices amidst the COVID-19 pandemic using both linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models.

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Can Tail Risk Predict Asia-Pacific Exchange Rates Out of Sample?

We present novel evidence to show that tail (market) risk, measured as the conditional autoregressive value at risk, is a good predictor of Asia-Pacific exchange rates.

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Tail Risks and Stock Return Predictability: Evidence From Asia-Pacific

We examine the predictability of fifteen major stocks in the Asia-Pacific region using conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) model estimates of tail risks.

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Hedging Global and Country-Specific Geopolitical Risks With South Korean Stocks: A Predictability Approach

In this study, we examine the potential of South Korean stocks to hedge against global and country-specific geopolitical risks

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Geopolitical Risk and the Return Volatility of Islamic Stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach

In this paper, the predictive value of geopolitical risk (GPR) for the return volatility of Islamic stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia is examined.

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Volume 2 Issue 4

Popularity of Unit Root Tests: A Review

This study undertakes a systematic literature review on recent developments in unit root tests.

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Speed of Adjustment of Stock Returns Around Dividend Announcements in Pakistan

This study investigates the behavior of stock prices to identify the speed of adjustment of stock returns in response to dividend declarations in the case of Pakistan stock market.

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Does COVID-19 Drive Stock Price Bubbles in Medical Mask?

This article studies whether there is a bubble in the price of medical masks, especially considering the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Asymmetric Impact of COVID-19 on China’s Stock Market Volatility: Media Effect or Fact?

This study examines the asymmetric effects of positive and negative changes in media attention to COVID-19 and daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases on China’s stock market volatility.

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Differential Impact of COVID-19 by Occupation: Survey Findings From Indian Punjab

This paper analyzes the differential impact of COVID-19 by occupation in Mansa, Punjab, India.

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Cash Management, Governance, and the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence From Developing Asia

This paper investigates how governance and the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) affect cash management.

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2022

Volume 3 Issue 1

Estimation of Life Insurance Asset Value From Household Survey

The omission of the asset value of life insurance policies in computing household assets would underestimate household wealth and therefore bias measures of wealth inequality.

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Asia-Pacific Islamic Stocks and Gold: A Markov-switching Copula Estimation

This paper tests regime changes of the conditional dependence between Asia-Pacific Islamic stocks and gold.

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Mega-Regionalism in Southeast Asia: Single- and Dual-Track Options for ASEAN Member States

This paper compares the effects of the economic convergence levels of the two mega-regional cooperative efforts of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Regional Comprehensive Economic-Partnership.

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The Directionality of Outward FDI and Its Determinants: Findings From Asian Emerging Countries

This study investigates the determinants of outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) for eight emerging Asian source countries vis-à-vis 107 host countries from 2009 to 2016.

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Returns to Secondary and Tertiary Education in China: A Meta-Analysis

In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis using 1429 estimates extracted from 61 English and Chinese studies to estimate the wage effect of secondary and tertiary education in China.

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Fertility and Parental Labor Supply in Rural Northwestern China: Evidence From Twin Births

This study exploits twin births to identify the effects of fertility on parental labor supply in rural northwestern China.

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Volume 3 Issue 2

Has Covid-19 Shaken the World Trade and China’s Preeminence?

The study compares the world trade network among the top merchandise trading countries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Impact of COVID-19 on Malaysia’s Bilateral Export: Testing for Heterogeneous Effects in the Product Category

This study analyzes the impact of COVID-19 on Malaysia’s bilateral export in three categories of goods.

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How COVID-19 Influences Indian Sectoral Stocks

In this study, we examine the influence of COVID-19 cases in India on the country’s sectoral stock indices.

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Monetary Policy Announcement and Stock Returns: Evidence From Long-Term Repo Operations in India

This paper investigates the impact of unconventional monetary policy on stock returns using the Reserve Bank of India’s long-term repo operations (LTROs).

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Outbreak of COVID-19: Economic Shocks and Corporate Responses in India

This paper systematically analyze corporate responses during the lockdown period and argue that corporate resilience through proactive responses played a key role in this recovery.

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Household Pandemic Response: The Socioeconomic Impact of COVID-19 on Migrant Households in India

We study the social impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the coping strategies adopted by left-behind households comprising both internal and international migrants in Kerala, India.

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Volume 3 Issue 3

Announcement Effect of COVID-19 on Cryptocurrencies

This study uses a fractional integration method to evaluate the efficiency of cryptocurrencies before and after the period COVID-19 had been announced as being a pandemic.

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The COVID-19 Pandemic Impact on Banking Sector

This paper aims to investigate the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on the banking sector in Indonesia between 2011 and 2020.

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A Note on the Transmission of Policy Uncertainty Shocks on Asia-Pacific Stock Returns

This study explores the transmission of various policy uncertainty shocks—such as financial market uncertainty, macroeconomic policy uncertainty, and anthropogenic uncertainty to Asia-Pacific country stock returns.

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Does Bank Competition Necessarily Contribute to Higher Profits? The Case of Indian Banking

This paper empirically examines an important research question of whether changes in bank competition have influenced the profitability pattern of Indian banking.

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Partisan Conflict and Government Spending: New Evidence From the United States

To understand and address the issue of how political party disagreement affects the dynamics of fiscal policy.

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Volume 3 Issue 4

Expectations Channel of the Monetary Policy in India: A Structural Factor Augmented VAR Approach

This study analyses the impact of inflation expectations from 17 July 2016 to 20 August 2022 using the actual future consumer price index (CPI).

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Analysing the Technical Efficiency of Rural Cooperative Banks in India

Using data envelopment analysis, this paper investigates the technical efficiency of rural cooperative banks in India from 2013 to 2019.

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Building Capacity for Innovation: Evidence From Vietnam

This study investigates the effect of capacity building for innovation through research and development (R&D) investment and training on innovation performance.

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Lockdown vs. Opening-Up of the Economy During the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Indian Stock Market

This paper examined the impact of the lockdown and opening-up of India during the COVID-19 pandemic on eleven Indian stock market indices.

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Does the United States Bond Yield Affect Foreign Institutional Investor Inflows to India and Indian Stock Market?

We investigate the extent to which the United States (US) bond yield affects foreign institutional investor (FII) inflows and the performance of the Indian stock market.

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COVID-19, Mobility, and Stock Markets Performance: Evidence From ASEAN–5

Time-series and time frequency domain analyses were used to examine the impact of mobility in ASEAN-5 stock markets.

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